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"The simple fact is that highly skilled foreign-born workers make enormous contributions to our economy [...] The US will find it far more difficult to maintain its competitive edge over the next 50 years if it excludes those who are able and willing to help us compete. Other nations are benefiting from our misguided policies."
Bill Gates,
Testimony before the Committee on Science and Technology, US House of Representatives,
March 12, 2008.

August 28, 2007

Trade Policy Analysis no. 35

Thriving in a Global Economy: The Truth about U.S. Manufacturing and Trade

by Daniel J. Ikenson

Daniel Ikenson is associate director of the Center for Trade Policy Studies.
He is coauthor of
Antidumping Exposed: The Devilish Details of Unfair Trade Law (Cato Institute, 2003).

Executive Summary

Reports of the death of U.S. manufacturing have been greatly exaggerated. Since the depth of the manufacturing recession in 2002, the sector as a whole has experienced robust and sustained output, revenue, and profit growth. The year 2006 was a record year for output, revenues, profits, profit rates, and return on investment in the manufacturing sector. And despite all the stories about the erosion of U.S. manufacturing primacy, the United States remains the world's most prolific manufacturer--producing two and a half times more output than those vaunted Chinese factories in 2006.

Yet, the rhetoric on Capitol Hill and on the presidential campaign trail about a declining manufacturing sector is reaching a fevered pitch. Policymakers point repeatedly to the loss of 3 million manufacturing jobs as evidence of impending doom, even though those acute losses occurred between 2000 and 2003, and job decline in manufacturing has leveled off to historic averages.

In the first six months of the 110th Congress, more than a dozen antagonistic or protectionist trade-related bills have been introduced, which rely on the presumed precariousness of U.S. manufacturing as justification for the legislation. Justification for those bills is predicated on the belief that manufacturing is in decline and that the failure of U.S. trade policy to address unfair competition is to blame. But those premises are wrong. The totality of evidence points to a robust manufacturing sector that has thrived on account of greater international trade.


Text of Trade Policy Analysis No. 35 (PDF, 28 pgs, 338 kb)



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